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CICC: The non-agricultural data in November supported the Fed to continue to cut interest rates. The CICC research report pointed out that after being seriously hindered by hurricanes and strikes, the number of new jobs in the United States rose sharply to 227,000 in November, but the unemployment rate also rose to 4.2%, indicating that the labor market is slowing down. On the whole, the labor market is still in a state of "the momentum of employment growth is weakening, but the job market itself is not weak", which will provide reasons for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in December. However, we also predict that the Fed will slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, because as interest rates approach the neutral level, policymakers will become more cautious. One prediction risk is the impact of Trump's immigration policy on the labor market. At present, we tend to have a moderate impact, but we also need to pay close attention to the possibility of extreme situations. Based on non-agricultural data, we believe that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points again this month.Millennium Capital has increased its office space in Hong Kong. According to Sing Tao Daily, Millennium Capital Management Asia leased another floor of the second phase of Hong Kong Central International Financial Center. Millennium will lease 46 floors of about 23,909 square feet of space until September 2027. The rent for new office space is estimated at around HK$ 120 per square foot. The company has rented the 43rd floor of the same building.Millennium Capital has increased its office space in Hong Kong. According to Sing Tao Daily, Millennium Capital Management Asia leased another floor of the second phase of Hong Kong Central International Financial Center. Millennium will lease 46 floors of about 23,909 square feet of space until September 2027. The rent for new office space is estimated at around HK$ 120 per square foot. The company has rented the 43rd floor of the same building.

Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.Qingdao Yurun International Plaza failed again, and the starting price dropped from 1.2 billion yuan to 219 million yuan. On December 9, according to the information disclosed by Ali Assets Auction Network, the "Yurun International Plaza" project (HD0606-003 plot) in the core area of Qingdao High-tech Zone failed again, and the starting price dropped to 219 million yuan, and no one signed up. On July 4, 2022, the project was put on the market for the first time. At that time, the reserve price was 1.2 billion yuan. The project was developed by Qingdao Dihua Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., located in the core area of Central Intelligence Island. It was originally planned to invest 6 billion yuan to build a commercial complex integrating technology and finance Center and five-star hotels.Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.

Oracle Bone Inscriptions's revenue in the fiscal quarter did not surprise investors. The stock price fell after hours, and the quarterly revenue of database giant Oracle Bone Inscriptions met expectations, which disappointed some investors who hoped that the cloud business would perform better. Oracle Bone Inscriptions shares fell in after-hours trading. Oracle Bone Inscriptions announced after-hours Monday that its second-quarter revenue increased by 9% to $14.1 billion. Cloud business revenue increased by 52% to $2.4 billion, in line with analysts' expectations. Oracle Bone Inscriptions has been trying to find its foothold in the computing and storage leasing market, which is now dominated by larger competitors Amazon and Microsoft. Larry Ellision, chairman of Oracle Bone Inscriptions, paid special attention to the company's ability to provide hardware and integrated software for handling artificial intelligence tasks. Safra Catz, CEO of Oracle Bone Inscriptions, said in the performance conference call that the company expects revenue growth of about 8% in the third quarter, excluding some projects, earnings per share is expected to be between 1.47 and 1.51 dollars, and cloud business revenue is expected to increase by about 24%. These performance prospects are not as good as analysts' estimates. Oracle Bone Inscriptions shares closed at $190.45 on Monday, down about 7% in after-hours trading. The company's share price has soared by 81% this year.Guotai Junan: OPEC+ once again postponed the increase in production without changing the global increase in production trend, and the supply and demand will still improve. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that since December, the VLCC freight rate has dropped to a low level, and the MR freight rate has rebounded slightly. Recently, OPEC+ decided to postpone production for another quarter until April 2025, and then increase production month by month, until the end of September 2026, the cumulative increase of 2 million barrels per day was completed. If implemented as scheduled, it is estimated that the increase of OPEC+production in 2025-26 will drive the global increase by 0.4%/1.2%. In addition, North America and South America are expected to increase production in 2025. The increase of crude oil production will benefit the growth of oil transportation demand, and the supply of tankers will be rigid in the next few years, and the improvement of supply and demand and the rise of prosperity will still be expected, suggesting that there is an option to lower oil prices.The introduction of detailed measures for the supervision of centralized drug consumables emphasizes the priority of using the selected products. Recently, the Notice of the National Health and Health Committee of the National Medical Insurance Bureau on Improving the Working Mechanism of Centralized Drug Purchasing and Implementation put forward detailed measures to strengthen the supervision of the admission, use, monitoring and assessment of centralized drug consumables. The local authorities are required to conduct investigations from the third month after centralized procurement, and urge medical institutions to give priority to the use of selected products and rationally manage the use of non-selected drugs. Emphasis is placed on the dynamic monitoring of the online price and purchase volume of centralized varieties, and institutions that fail to complete the agreed purchase volume will be regarded as unqualified. It is required to improve the provincial consultation mechanism for centralized procurement, ensure stable supply, and at the same time promote comprehensive supervision in coordination, curb unhealthy practices, and promote the priority use of selected drugs and consumables. (Official WeChat official account of the National Medical Insurance Bureau)